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Why it's a Good Time to Buy a Home in Canada
February 08, 2012 | << Back to All Blog Posts

I believe there has never been a better time to buy a home. I’ve been in the industry for 28 years as a lawyer and I haven’t seen so many  positive signs for housing, whether you are thinking or buying or  locking in a mortgage.

Here’s why:

Mortgage rates at historic lows: They can’t get any lower. Four to five-year fixed mortgages at 3 per cent are unheard of.  It is lower than the variable rate that most Canadians have been paying  for years. Rates have nowhere to go but up, either later this year or  next. If you are paying a variable interest rate, lock in now.
Canada’s appeal: This country has everything going  for it — a stable banking and political environment, steady real estate  market, the natural resources people want and few social tensions. That  makes us a safe haven in a volatile world.
Our immigrant draw: Because of the above, we’re a  draw for immigrants, often wealthy ones. When they get here, they need a home. So in my view while the real estate market may level off in some  areas of Ontario, it should stay strong in most of the GTA and likely  Canada’s other large urban centres as well.
Mortgage defaults: According to CMHC, over 99 per  cent of Canadians pay their mortgages on time. It quite a different  picture in the U.S. where 7 million homes are in foreclosure and perhaps another 7 million homeowners are under water. This represents almost 15 per cent of all homes. So while the American housing market will likely be weak for the next few years, this should not occur in Canada. Our  banks are not dumping homes onto the market, so there is no downward  pressure on prices.

Recourse Mortgages: In many U.S. states, if you  can’t pay your mortgage, the only thing the bank can do is foreclose;  they cannot sue you for any shortfall. So when homes go under water,  owners give the keys back to the bank. In Canada, loans are almost all  Recourse, meaning if you don’t pay and there is a shortfall, the lender  can sue you for the difference. This is another reason why, in my  opinion, even if times do get tough, Canadian homeowners will find a way to make the payments until things improve.
Income-to-price ratio: Another misleading statistic  is that in major markets, like Toronto, the average price of a home is  now 4.6 times the income of the average Canadian. This same statistic  was found just before the U.S. and UK markets went into the tank.  However, if you look at median incomes of Canadians against the median  cost of homes, this average comes down to around 3.5, which is not  dangerous. Using averages are wrong. A person receiving social  assistance will not buy a home, and should not be included in any  relevant statistic.
High consumer debt: The warnings about rising debt  ratios must be examined carefully. The Governor of the Bank of Canada is worried that the average personal debt ratio is now 156 per cent in Canada. This means a household making $100,000 per year, owes $156,000,  two-thirds of which is mortgage debt. Why is this so bad? At an interest rate of 3 or even 5 per cent, the amount needed to service the debt is  manageable. Most people do not pay off their mortgages in one year.  Still, this is another good reason to consolidate your debt now, at  these low interest rates, and lock in.
No guarantees: Nobody can predict the future and  there’s always the possibility of a major economic shock. Yet, in a U.S. presidential election year, politicians will do whatever is necessary  to prevent it. If the economy goes into the tank, so do re-election  chances. The U.S. is already showing signs of economic recovery.

No matter what, do not take on a monthly payment higher than what you can afford. Meet with your lender or mortgage broker in advance to  figure out what you can afford before you start looking for a home. It  may be the best time to buy, but you need to buy smart.

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